Soccer · World Cup · Lowest scoring team
Qatar · Lowest scoring team
Worst form, brutal group, no underdog hunger — project one goal across three group games at +1600.
Full thesis
The thesis is simple: worst form, worst group, no hunger. Qatar have won just 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 4 goals while conceding 8. Losses to Zimbabwe, Palestine, and a 3-0 hammering by Tunisia. Their March friendlies against Serbia and Argentina were cancelled, meaning they arrive having not played a competitive match since December 2025. The group punishes them immediately. They open against Switzerland on June 13, then face co-hosts Canada on June 18, two of the tournament's best-organized sides back to back. But here is the bigger problem. While teams like Haiti, Curacao, and Cape Verde are showing up to this tournament for the first time in their history, or after decades away, playing with everything they have and nothing to lose, Qatar has been here. They hosted in 2022. The novelty is gone. The fire that carries underdog teams to shocking results simply is not there. Those first-time nations will scratch and claw for every goal. Qatar will go through the motions. The projection: 1 goal across 3 group games. Akram Afif and Almoez Ali built their numbers against AFC minnows. This is not that competition. Lowest scoring team at the tournament. +1600 is the play.